Build earnings event playbook for {{TICKER}}:
PRE-EARNINGS (1-2 weeks before):
1. Expectations Setup:
- Consensus EPS and revenue
- Whisper number (if available)
- Guidance from last quarter
- Key metrics to watch
2. Historical Patterns:
- Beat/miss history (last 8 quarters)
- Post-earnings move (avg magnitude)
- Implied move from options
- Gap vs. fade tendency
3. Positioning Analysis:
- Short interest trend
- Options positioning
- Institutional ownership changes
4. Key Questions for the Call:
- Critical business updates needed
- Guidance focus areas
- Risk areas to address
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DURING EARNINGS:
5. Real-Time Checklist:
- Headline EPS and revenue vs. consensus
- Key segment performance
- Guidance vs. expectations
- Tone and language changes
- Non-GAAP adjustments
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POST-EARNINGS (within 24 hours):
6. Call Analysis:
- Management tone assessment
- New information vs. priced in
- Analyst question themes
- Guidance quality
7. Thesis Update:
- Does this change the thesis?
- Model revision needed?
- Position sizing adjustment?
8. Trade Decision:
- Buy the dip / sell the rip
- Hold and reassess
- Add to position
- Reduce position
Output: Complete earnings playbook with decision framework.
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Earnings Event Playbook
EarningsEvent-DrivenCatalystTrading
ThesisBoard
Author
Asset Class:Equity
Research Type:Event-Driven
Stance:Neutral