Analyze the volatility surface for an underlying:
1. ATM Volatility Term Structure:
- ATM IV by expiration (1W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 1Y)
- Term structure shape (contango/backwardation)
- Comparison to historical norm
- Event-driven bumps
2. Skew Analysis:
- 25-delta put-call skew by expiry
- Skew richness vs. history
- Skew change (1W, 1M)
- Risk reversal pricing
3. Smile Characteristics:
- Curvature (OTM puts vs. OTM calls)
- Tail risk pricing
- Wing steepness
4. Volatility Surface Comparison:
- Current vs. 1 week ago
- Current vs. 1 month ago
- Current vs. pre-event
5. Realized vs. Implied:
- RV/IV ratio by tenor
- Historical vol selling profitability
- Forward starting vol analysis
6. Trade Ideas:
- Calendar spread opportunities (term structure trades)
- Skew trades (risk reversals, put spreads vs. calls)
- Volatility mean reversion trades
- Event vol trades
7. Key Dates:
- Earnings date
- Ex-dividend date
- Other scheduled events
Output: Vol surface summary with specific trade recommendations.
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Volatility Surface Analysis
Volatility SurfaceOptions AnalyticsVol Trading
ThesisBoard
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Asset Class:Derivatives
Research Type:Quantitative
Stance:Neutral