Perform relative value analysis for a bond:
1. Current Spread Metrics:
- Option-Adjusted Spread (OAS)
- Z-spread
- G-spread
- I-spread
2. Historical Context:
- Current spread vs. 1Y/3Y/5Y average
- Current percentile rank
- Spread volatility
3. Peer Comparison:
- Select 5-7 comparable bonds (similar rating, sector, duration)
- Spread differential vs. each
- Credit quality differential explanation
4. Curve Relative Value:
- Spread per unit of duration
- Roll-down value (1 year)
- Optimal curve positioning
5. Cross-Market Comparison:
- CDS basis (bond spread vs. CDS)
- Loan spread vs. bond spread (if applicable)
- Euro vs. USD credit (if applicable)
6. Rating-Adjusted Value:
- Spread vs. index by rating category
- Implied rating from spread
- Rating transition scenario impact
7. Carry & Roll Analysis:
- Expected carry (spread income)
- Roll-down P&L estimate
- Breakeven spread widening
Output: Rich/cheap score with specific trade recommendations (vs. alternatives).
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Relative Value - Credit Spreads
Relative ValueCredit SpreadsFixed Income Trading
ThesisBoard
Author
Asset Class:Fixed Income
Research Type:Credit
Stance:Neutral